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This is a list of historical rate actions by the United States Federal Open Market Committee On December 16, 2015 the Fed increased its key interest rate, the Federal Funds The hike was from the range [0%, 0.25%] to the range [0.25%, 0.5%]. the rate was cut by half a percentage point on March 3, 2020 to 1–1.25 % in 

Second, the efficiency of the futures market is related to the degree of correlation between spot and futures price changes. High efficient information transmission in the futures market is linked Somewhat surprisingly the results indicate that the correlation coefficients between changes in spot and futures prices are about the same or even slightly higher during periods of weak contango compared with strong contango. The correlations when markets are in backwardation are, as expected, lower than those for weak and strong contango. The high correlation between spot and futures prices may explain the negative relationship between average spot price and risk premium. The futures prices tend to follow the spot price closely, as shown in Fig. 2. On average this may lead to overpriced futures prices and negative realized risk premia when spot prices are high and vice versa when spot prices are low.

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